Comments on: On Climate Change http://neilcameron.org/blog/2010/02/on-climate-change/ The Web Blog of Neil Cameron on the Island Tue, 09 Nov 2010 16:53:31 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.3 By: Neil http://neilcameron.org/blog/2010/02/on-climate-change/comment-page-1/#comment-768 Neil Mon, 08 Feb 2010 21:04:38 +0000 http://neilcameron.org/blog/2010/02/on-climate-change/#comment-768 Well the logic goes that the number of record breaking years can go above the expected number and people shouldn't be too worried, but the probability of the record being broken repeatedly in a short space of time and being above the predicted limit is very small and more likely due to the mechanism no longer being a random event (i.e. human intervention). So we shouldn't need more years of measurement to verify this. I have since looked into the same statistics for record cold winters and record warm summers and they also show the same 'no longer random' behaviour although with less certainty. I agree though, the consequences of doing nothing are not worth the risk the doubters are taking... Well the logic goes that the number of record breaking years can go above the expected number and people shouldn’t be too worried, but the probability of the record being broken repeatedly in a short space of time and being above the predicted limit is very small and more likely due to the mechanism no longer being a random event (i.e. human intervention). So we shouldn’t need more years of measurement to verify this. I have since looked into the same statistics for record cold winters and record warm summers and they also show the same ‘no longer random’ behaviour although with less certainty.

I agree though, the consequences of doing nothing are not worth the risk the doubters are taking…

]]> By: Cata http://neilcameron.org/blog/2010/02/on-climate-change/comment-page-1/#comment-767 Cata Mon, 08 Feb 2010 08:20:18 +0000 http://neilcameron.org/blog/2010/02/on-climate-change/#comment-767 I don't think that people are arguing about whether or not climate change is real... it's more what's causing it that's got people all disagreeing and stuff. But isn't that beside the point anyway? Surely recognizing a problem should be enough to try and do something about it... And, about your rain record breaking point... It could be completely coincidental that these past few years have seen so many records... We won't know until a significant time period has gone by to possibly show no records to "even things out" right? I don’t think that people are arguing about whether or not climate change is real… it’s more what’s causing it that’s got people all disagreeing and stuff.

But isn’t that beside the point anyway? Surely recognizing a problem should be enough to try and do something about it…

And, about your rain record breaking point… It could be completely coincidental that these past few years have seen so many records… We won’t know until a significant time period has gone by to possibly show no records to “even things out” right?

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